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TOPIC: DOW

TF-DOW 19 Mar 2018 14:18 #651

Trendfriend OFFLINE Expert Poster Posts: 1650 Thank you received: 2236 Karma: 55	dow - daily. uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...FTt5xbKB4KQfv86Qk%3D not very good imvho.... It should by all intents and purposes go down for at least a LL.... so below 23350.... atb, wdik, dyor, trendfriend
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TF-DOW 13 Mar 2018 22:58 #652

Trendfriend OFFLINE Expert Poster Posts: 1650 Thank you received: 2236 Karma: 55	Yep, exactly right LTV..... It's a bit of a pivot level....and the 20 and 50 day ema lines are around that area.....which in themselves act like pivot levels... Closed bang on 25,000 today....intriguingly poised.....currently in a triangle, and whichever way it breaks should result in a decent move in that direction imvho.... atb, wdik,dyor, trendfriend
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TF-DOW 07 Mar 2018 16:03 #653

longterm_view OFFLINE Junior Boarder Posts: 327 Thank you received: 294 Karma: 10	DOW Daily. TF, I have yesterday's high at 24,995, why was 25035 important please Is it because it failed at the EMA20?
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DOW - MRA4 02 Mar 2018 19:57 #654

MRA4 OFFLINE Junior Boarder Posts: 154 Thank you received: 119 Karma: 7	I think we are heading toward the main trendline Area & fib retracement levels, Below main trend line Level would be an area of concern, if there was not a bounce back upwards.
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DOW - MRA4 01 Mar 2018 18:46 #655

longterm_view OFFLINE Junior Boarder Posts: 327 Thank you received: 294 Karma: 10	RichB, What are your targets for the FTSE? Dow looks like it's taking a hammering again, can't post a chart.
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DOW - MRA4 01 Mar 2018 16:47 #656

Richb OFFLINE Fresh Boarder Posts: 87 Thank you received: 47 Karma: 2	I'd be interested to know too .. Ive got some ideas for patterns for lower targets on the Dax & FTSE nothing yet on the DOW ...
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DOW - MRA4 01 Mar 2018 14:14 #657

longterm_view OFFLINE Junior Boarder Posts: 327 Thank you received: 294 Karma: 10	MRA4, I believe this is Wave C, what do you think? Do you have a projected target? I'm thinking around 21,500. Although there is a problem with this, if it does get to 21000/21500, we have dropped 20% from the high, which I believe puts us in a bear market. Does this compute with Elliotts Wave Theory? DOW Daily Looks to be breaking down again. It's broken it's daily uptrend line.
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DOW 22 Feb 2018 20:59 #658

longterm_view OFFLINE Junior Boarder Posts: 327 Thank you received: 294 Karma: 10	MRA4, thanks for that mate, made my simple chart look very childish! Glad we are on the same wave length. I agree, I thought we were in a ABC move, current wave down to around 21000/21500, Wave C. Going by this, do we still have 2 main waves until the big drop?
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DOW 22 Feb 2018 18:01 #659

MRA4 OFFLINE Junior Boarder Posts: 154 Thank you received: 119 Karma: 7	I think we are Currently in a corrective wave "ABC" of the Major Wave rt7.t.prorealtime.com/ProRealTimeNew/dis...crreh8zql9f&type=png 61.8% bounce back on the Daily rt7.t.prorealtime.com/ProRealTimeNew/dis...56zjc29ryek&type=png
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DOW 22 Feb 2018 13:19 #660

longterm_view OFFLINE Junior Boarder Posts: 327 Thank you received: 294 Karma: 10	Got bored waiting, answering myself, that's sad. He's a simple chart to show the extent of this move. Perhaps I have Elliotts all wrong, but it looks good to me.
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DOW 21 Feb 2018 15:17 #661

longterm_view OFFLINE Junior Boarder Posts: 327 Thank you received: 294 Karma: 10	Looking at the chart below and reading a very limited amount on Elliotts wave before my head exploded I can't see an ABC move from the 2009 low, I can see minor corrections, which would imply the ABC moves in the lower frames, but I would have thought there would be an BIG ABC move?? Any ideas?
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DOW 07 Feb 2018 17:40 #662

Trendfriend OFFLINE Expert Poster Posts: 1650 Thank you received: 2236 Karma: 55	kerching.... that went well.... i'm looking to short if we get below 25096....stop above today's high.... dow - daily. uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...NIjlEnznky0s5IWK8%3D 50 day ema line is the key here imvho....and i think this down move is not quite over yet.... atb, wdik, dyor, trendfriend
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DOW 07 Feb 2018 10:46 #663

Trendfriend
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dow daily. (trading hours only)
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...VXp9uth6mM6y0ikuI%3D

I would only be comfortable with the long side here on a break above 24947....close above 25100 confirms the upside view
stop below 23780.

so basically looking for a higher high, as the bar has been set for us yesterday.....important not to jump the gun here imho..... unless you likle to gamble! lol....

drop below 23800 calls for 23000 > 22000> 19500 (area)

be lucky folks,
atb, wdik, dyor,
trendfriend

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DOW 06 Feb 2018 13:14 #664

longterm_view OFFLINE Junior Boarder Posts: 327 Thank you received: 294 Karma: 10	Thank you. A 15% correction from the high, would be around 22600, 2 forms of support. That'll keep us all watching those figures.
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DOW 06 Feb 2018 13:00 #665

remo NOW ONLINE Moderator Posts: 3166 Thank you received: 5650 Karma: 113	The short term trendline is at 23600 ,this is the level to watch as a break of this and the index could head down towards the 200sma which currently stands at 22721 and would also open up a test of the main trendline which is at 21900 area. I would be going long on a first attempt of the main trendline and also the 200sma. This bounced of the 23.6 fib level perfectly yesterday.
	Information Purposes Only, Do Your Own Research remo Last Edit: 06 Feb 2018 13:32 by remo. The administrator has disabled public write access. The following user(s) said Thank You: longterm_view, Trendfriend, Paitech, MRA4, cautious tone

DOW 23 Mar 2017 14:22 #666

Monkeyz OFFLINE Junior Boarder Posts: 195 Thank you received: 412 Karma: 16	I was thinking similar with the S&P500. I like the look of the lower high and subsequent sell off. I think the UBS guys had 2350 as trendline support. Be interesting to see where today closes. Already short, M
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DOW 21 Mar 2017 20:27 #667

remo NOW ONLINE Moderator Posts: 3166 Thank you received: 5650 Karma: 113	possible 123 high formation?? or maybe the subwave 4 ive mentioned earlier. I'm gonna short on a back test of 20777 if it moves there over the next few days on a first attempt basis during market hourswith tight stops of 50pips. dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dow21stmarch2017.png dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/Scre...03-21%2020.53.09.png
	Information Purposes Only, Do Your Own Research remo Last Edit: 21 Mar 2017 20:55 by remo. The administrator has disabled public write access.

DOW 03 Mar 2017 14:58 #668

remo NOW ONLINE Moderator Posts: 3166 Thank you received: 5650 Karma: 113	very tempted to short with stops above the high but thats over 170 points. But i wont take the risk as i only ever place stops 50pips max...
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DOW 03 Mar 2017 14:51 #669

remo NOW ONLINE Moderator Posts: 3166 Thank you received: 5650 Karma: 113	its gonna take some thing special to push past that channel top resistance which goes back a long time. im not shorting just yet as have a wave 4 subwave to come and maybe a last wave 5 sub to re-test the channel lines again. But would be nice to see a another gap down so as it forms a island top like food4thought mentioned. dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dow3rdmarch2017.png
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DOW 03 Mar 2017 09:13 #670

Food4Thought OFFLINE Senior Poster Posts: 521 Thank you received: 1019 Karma: 24	Gap at open? Island top? Exhaustion. Certainly dark cloud cover
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DOW 27 Feb 2017 10:22 #671

remo NOW ONLINE Moderator Posts: 3166 Thank you received: 5650 Karma: 113	Richb wrote: Do you see a wave 4 on the weekly back down before that top area you've mentioned Remo ? Wave 4 has completed already based on my counts. The chart I posted was a monthly chart so as I could fit the whole chart on to screen. And I'm talking about the primary waves and not any sub waves. So not certain what your asking?
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DOW 26 Feb 2017 17:46 #672

Richb OFFLINE Fresh Boarder Posts: 87 Thank you received: 47 Karma: 2	Remo this is what I was thinking
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DOW 26 Feb 2017 16:41 #673

Richb OFFLINE Fresh Boarder Posts: 87 Thank you received: 47 Karma: 2	Do you see a wave 4 on the weekly back down before that top area you've mentioned Remo ?
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DOW 24 Feb 2017 19:27 #674

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For me , we are in wave 5 primary on dow and this is coming to an end soon so be very careful with new longs.
Ive roughly got the high for the wave 5 to end around 21733 area so roughly around 1000 points from current level on dow. Ive posted a very simple chart below to show the count as its the monthly chart as you can see its been one heck of a bull market and we need a big correction. My target is based of the wave 1 as wave 5 cant be the biggest wave so likely to be around similar size to wave 1 . So cant see this going past 22000.
Please dont ask me for the exact count as i remember giving everyone a headache last time around when we did the elliott thing back in 2009 in our private discussion board and also in the early days of our website. The good old days.

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/elliott%20wave%20dow.png

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DOW 20 Feb 2017 10:19 #675

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Agree and certainly not suggesting any shorting but Dow, S&P500 and Russells 2000 are all showing RSI and MACD divergence on daily. Nasdaq is the only major US index not showing this on the daily but all show divergence on the monthly.

The run up from the 2009 low has been incredible.

Resistance on the dow currently at 21100 so that is certainly a shorting point.

When the trend does reverse it will be quick and fast IMO. First stop for Dow will be 19200 area.

Last Edit: 20 Feb 2017 10:21 by Food4Thought.

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DOW 19 Feb 2017 08:25 #676

remo NOW ONLINE Moderator Posts: 3166 Thank you received: 5650 Karma: 113	I would not short the dow based on guessing. You have to wait for a 123 high formation before attempting any shorts currently. The reason for this is , its got no resistances above currently so you cannot do any shorts. Shorts are done from resistance levels so the odds are in your favour. So best to wait for a better signal to form. dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dow19thfeb2017.png
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DOW 16 Feb 2017 12:46 #677

Luice OFFLINE Fresh Boarder Posts: 5 Thank you received: 1 Karma: 1	I would be very interested to hear Remo's view. I cant see what will change the trend. I have been burnt on a no. of post 20k shorts which was really quite stupid..
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DOW 15 Feb 2017 16:35 #678

Ocean10 OFFLINE Fresh Boarder Posts: 68 Thank you received: 105 Karma: 3
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DOW 15 Feb 2017 16:12 #679

Ocean10 OFFLINE Fresh Boarder Posts: 68 Thank you received: 105 Karma: 3	DOW is not showing any sign of weakness. Attached are 2 charts suggesting that the uptrend is strong, the 10 MA looks like very strong support. Please feel free to comment. Thank you. DYOR, GL...
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DOW 12 Feb 2017 17:51 #680

Ocean10
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Thank you Trenfriend
Taking a short or long position at the moment can be dangerous.
IMHO, the RSI divergence may indicate a trend change. However, DOW seems to be stuck in a triangle and consolidation is getting tighter implying a breakout is bound to take place soon. A breakout to the upside cannot be excluded, should this happen the DOW chart should be re-analysed.
If we see a breakout to the downside, then the targets mentioned earlier may come into play

DYOR, GL

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DOW 12 Feb 2017 13:50 #681

Trendfriend
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Hi Ocean,

Nice chart...

the divergence on the rsi which you have highlighted on your chart, is a bearish divergence......and therefore indicative of a top building imvho.....however, that rsi div has been present for some time and could continue to remain that way, and like your saying the dow keeps making new highs.....so must not just jump in short, based on that indicator alone...

For now, i think it's just a signal not chase these markets higher......or at least to be cautious now imvho....
having said that if the rsi breaks that t/line resistance,(i think it will) a further leg up on the dow looks likely...

To short i think a lower is the best signal, so a break below the horizontal support at 19750(ish) on your chart must go first.......

as always imvho, dyor wdik
trendfriend

Last Edit: 12 Feb 2017 13:51 by Trendfriend.

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DOW 12 Feb 2017 09:12 #682

Ocean10 OFFLINE Fresh Boarder Posts: 68 Thank you received: 105 Karma: 3	Good morning The DOW keeps going up with new highs, on the daily chart lower highs can be observed on the RSI. Could this be a sign of a breakout. If we see a downside breakout from the apex triangle, the first piece of support sits at the recent low 19,750. The majority of decent support lies down at near 18,700. DYOR, Good luck..
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DOW 24 Jan 2017 18:38 #683

Trendfriend OFFLINE Expert Poster Posts: 1650 Thank you received: 2236 Karma: 55	dow daily. uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...FRlgjzjAHQhKA1fag%3D careful with shorts here imvho, looks like a bull flag breakout to me at 19915. this should now make new highs, lets see. atb, wdik, dyor, trendfriend
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DOW 19 Jan 2017 19:27 #684

Ocean10 OFFLINE Fresh Boarder Posts: 68 Thank you received: 105 Karma: 3	Hi Everyone, happy new year. IMO DOW is approaching an interesting level, if a breakout is observed at around 19675 it is very probable further downside will be seen. Tried to post chart but unsuccessful, hope this link works. www.dropbox.com/s/t6ou0bbihbjyy0d/dow%20daily.png?dl=0 DYOR... Attachments: dowdaily.png (131KB)
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DOW 19 Jan 2017 17:45 #685

Monkeyz OFFLINE Junior Boarder Posts: 195 Thank you received: 412 Karma: 16	Getting close to a key level. Short from 18809.
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DOW 06 Jan 2017 21:13 #686

skipper10 OFFLINE Fresh Boarder Posts: 44 Thank you received: 18 Karma: 1	Shorts standing by F4T roll on mon
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DOW 16 Dec 2016 14:09 #687

Food4Thought OFFLINE Senior Poster Posts: 521 Thank you received: 1019 Karma: 24	Everyman and his dog will short at 20,000 or just below. Beware!
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DOW 16 Dec 2016 08:55 #688

remo NOW ONLINE Moderator Posts: 3166 Thank you received: 5650 Karma: 113	First time ive seen it change bearish on this indicator for a long while. Only thing is, the Christmas rally may mess this up. dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/2016-12-16.png
	Information Purposes Only, Do Your Own Research remo Last Edit: 16 Dec 2016 08:56 by remo. The administrator has disabled public write access.

DOW 23 Nov 2016 14:23 #689

charts OFFLINE Fresh Boarder Posts: 17 Thank you received: 13 Karma: 0	I'm out at 19010. See you next year.
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DOW 11 Nov 2016 16:38 #690

remo
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Yep will post when i see this change
Trendfriend wrote:

Hi Remo,

Looks good, any chance you could post a chart when you see a change in trend please?

Dow daily.
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...xoTqaAZvxNOFbViMcR4=

After all the fun games of the election, this rallied back strongly and tested the highs yesterday, and break and weekly close above 18672, could see it rocket, a target as high as 20,000 dow is showing quite possibly by year end....

Only a drop below the 200 day ema line currently at 17935, would cancel or delay the bull argument, and a retest of that level cannot be ruled just yet.....

atb, wdik, dyor, keep safe folks.
trendfriend

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DOW 10 Nov 2016 07:54 #691

Trendfriend
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Hi Remo,

Looks good, any chance you could post a chart when you see a change in trend please?

Last Edit: 10 Nov 2016 07:56 by Trendfriend.

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DOW 09 Nov 2016 18:49 #692

remo NOW ONLINE Moderator Posts: 3166 Thank you received: 5650 Karma: 113	New expert on metastock 15, Sectorstat. Its good for direction of markets Click image to enlarge dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/Scre...11-09%2018.47.42.png The blue arrow indicated a buy signal a few days ago and red arrow indicates sell signals.Above zero on the oscilators is bullish. This indicator looks effective in trending markets and less so in trading ranges.
	Information Purposes Only, Do Your Own Research remo Last Edit: 09 Nov 2016 18:58 by remo. The administrator has disabled public write access. The following user(s) said Thank You: Trendfriend, Paitech

DOW 04 Nov 2016 08:30 #693

Trendfriend
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dow.
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...FnglO0vkB7Bh2Zbd4%3D

ftse.
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...7h2enQJghn4r6j66s%3D

dax.
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...1pBHIl0KwmzglVF4s%3D

Just wanted to show, the rsi on all 3 index's today.
All of them are testing the rsi support from Jan 16.
In addition the dow, and dax both testing the 200 day ema line.

a break below, or down move today would be a disaster, imvho.
fan, s***(the brown stuff), and hit comes to mind.

It should hold and push on form here, but lets see....and anyway wdik....
gotta run now..

atb, wdik, dyor,
trendfriend

n.b these charts were from yetserday close, so the ftse, dax would have broken below those key rsi levels now.

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DOW 02 Nov 2016 18:11 #694

Trendfriend OFFLINE Expert Poster Posts: 1650 Thank you received: 2236 Karma: 55	It's also Halloween!! be careful i make 17930 a key level. just my opinion. atb, wdik, dyor, trendfriend
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DOW 02 Nov 2016 14:06 #695

charts OFFLINE Fresh Boarder Posts: 17 Thank you received: 13 Karma: 0	Could be volatility while Thursdays election is still upon us, then push towards the highs again. After all it is Christmas!
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DOW 02 Nov 2016 12:45 #696

Trendfriend OFFLINE Expert Poster Posts: 1650 Thank you received: 2236 Karma: 55	dow daily. (chart is from yersterday) uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...NexXxQmIiZfwzTBUc%3D well i'm not quite as keen as you charts! Bulls still in charge but only just, 19930 gives the bears the upper hand imvho ...but wdik failure of the overhead resistance t/line may well have been a near term top?? atb, wdik, dyor. trendfriend
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DOW 02 Nov 2016 12:35 #697

charts OFFLINE Fresh Boarder Posts: 17 Thank you received: 13 Karma: 0	Happy to go long at 17985. November invariably a 'good' month.
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DOW 26 Oct 2016 11:20 #698

charts OFFLINE Fresh Boarder Posts: 17 Thank you received: 13 Karma: 0	Out at the moment. Looking to go long by the end of the week, expecting a 3% rise in the dow and a test of the highs as the santa clause rally gets earlier each year.
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DOW 07 Oct 2016 14:41 #699

Trendfriend OFFLINE Expert Poster Posts: 1650 Thank you received: 2236 Karma: 55	dow daily uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...oteFyMYywlAMpguIw6I= a triangle breakout is worth trading here, it should break upwards, as triangles are normally continuation patterns. 18345 is todays number. atb, wdik, dyor trendfriend
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DOW 09 Aug 2016 14:42 #700

charts OFFLINE Fresh Boarder Posts: 17 Thank you received: 13 Karma: 0	18565 happy to go short here.
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TOPIC: DOW

TF-DOW 19 Mar 2018 14:18 #651

TF-DOW 13 Mar 2018 22:58 #652

TF-DOW 07 Mar 2018 16:03 #653

DOW - MRA4 02 Mar 2018 19:57 #654

DOW - MRA4 01 Mar 2018 18:46 #655

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DOW - MRA4 01 Mar 2018 14:14 #657

DOW 22 Feb 2018 20:59 #658

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